EconoAtlas
US AR BR
Activity Trend
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i
Details ✕
Methodology

• Input: IBC-Br seasonally adjusted level
• Source: Central Bank of Brazil (SGS 24364)
• 3m SAAR: ((P(t)/P(t−3))^4 − 1) × 100
• Trend: OLS slope of last 6 obs (pp/month)
• Clamp: [-8, 12] to reduce spike distortion
• Thresholds: ±0.05 pp/month
ATLAS Activity Score
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Activity Regime
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i
Details ✕
Methodology

• Input: IBC-Br seasonally adjusted level
• Source: Central Bank of Brazil (SGS 24364)
• YoY: ((P(t)/P(t−12)) − 1) × 100
• Regime: absolute activity classification based on YoY
• Thresholds:
  – GROWING: YoY ≥ 2.0%
  – CONTRACTING: YoY ≤ -1.0%
  – otherwise: STABLE
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Inflation Activity
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EXPECTATIONS
Market signal
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Assessing monthly average shifts across annual GDP growth references.

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